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http://hdl.handle.net/10314/3926
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Título: | EVOLUTION OF THE NUMBER OF STUDENTS IN ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOL IN PORTUGAL AND POPULATION AGEING |
Autores: | Rosa, Maria Cecília Pereira, Edgar |
Palavras Chave: | Mathematical Model, Structured Class, Student Population Evolution, Population Ageing . |
Data: | 13-Jul-2017 |
Editora: | Open Journal of Social Sciences |
Resumo: | In this work, we present an application of a mathematical model structured in
classes (see [1]) for the study of the influence of population ageing in the evolution
of the number of students in elementary school and in secondary
school in Portugal, from 1995/96 to 2014/15 (see [2]). Based on historical data,
some scenarios of projection are presented, with the aim of quantifying the
young student population and its relation with the structure of the population
age for the next school years in Portugal (from 2016/2017 to 2020/2021), in
the various study cycles. Furthermore, we make a comparative analysis between
the projection results presented here and in references [3] and [4]. The
dynamic of the model comprises two stages: the first one represents the flow
of students that go from one school year to the next, as well as the flow of
students that enter or leave the educational system in a certain cycle of studies.
The second stage represents the flow of students that go to the next cycle
of studies. The simulations were done using Matlab. |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10314/3926 |
ISSN: | 2327-5960 |
Aparece nas Colecções: | Artigos em Revista Internacional (ESTG)
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ceciliarosa_250_a.pdf | | 3877Kb | Adobe PDF | Ver/Abrir | |
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